Battleground Poll: Booming Jobs, Economy Buoy Trump, Dems Admit ‘In Serious Jeopardy’ In 2020

By Paul Bedard April 10th, 2019 | Image Source: Washington Examiner

They’re not fans of his personal style, but Americans seem to like what President Trump is doing on the economy, jobs, and taxes, and if the Democrats don’t respond with a stronger program, they could be “in serious jeopardy” for the 2020 election, according to a landmark political survey.

While most 2020 polls simply pit Trump against a generic Democrat to show that he could be in trouble, the Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll took a broad pulse on several issues and found that the public is willing to overlook what it doesn’t like about Trump to give him some credit on issues such as the economy.

The poll, conducted by Democrat Celinda Lake and Republican Ed Goeas since 1991, did show that Trump is losing the generic race, with just 37% believing that he “deserves reelection.”

But the public is also happy with elements of his agenda. And, as important, the right track-wrong track lines are edging better. The “right track” of the country is at its highest point in five years at 35%, and the “wrong track” is at its lowest point in five years at 57%.

This was the first year that the poll was housed at the Institute of Politics and Public Service at Georgetown University’s McCourt School of Public Policy.

The public’s willingness to give Trump credit for jobs and the economy prompted Lake, of Lake Research Partners, to issue a warning to Democrats.

In her analysis, Lake wrote, “While the president’s unpopularity certainly continues to present opportunities for the Democratic Party moving forward, attacking Trump will not be enough, particularly with a significant number of voters seemingly able to reconcile their misgivings about Trump with positive ratings of his handling of the economy. As 2020 continues to come closer into focus, Democrats will be best served by advancing an audacious, forward-thinking agenda that takes on the powerful special interests and delivers real change for the American people.”

Put another way, she added, “Overall, this data continues to illustrate Democrats’ inherent weakness to respond on the economy, and if the party does not rectify this soon, it will find itself in serious jeopardy for the 2020 election.”

The numbers:

  • Trump’s approval rating on his handling of the economy has increased to 58%.
  • 45% approve of his handling of taxes, less than the 48% who do not.
  • His job creation approval rating has jumped to 57%.
  • 49% feel “Donald Trump’s style and comments are frequently insulting, and he has the wrong approach on many issues.”
  • Trump beats “Democrats in Congress” on several issues, including taxes, economy, jobs, and national security.
  • He loses to Democrats on immigration policy.

Republican pollsters Goeas and Brian Nienaber, of the Tarrance Group, argued that if Trump can repeat his success in playing up the economy and drive up the negatives of the eventual Democratic presidential nominee, he can win a second term.

While Trump’s rhetoric and persona bother a significant numbers of voters, “A majority of voters approve his work on the economy and jobs and see him as superior to the Democrats in handling these issues. If he can again turn this election to a referendum on personal economic opportunity, while the Democrats remain focused on Donald Trump’s persona and style, he can win re-election,” they concluded.

Author: Paul Bedard

Source: Washingtonexaminer: Battleground Poll: Booming jobs, economy buoy Trump, Dems admit ‘in serious jeopardy’ in 2020

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